As a result of the strong spatial variability of minimum temperatures, a wide variety of damage and plant cold injury have been reported across the state thus far. One interesting observation was the absence of frost in some areas, even with sub-freezing temperatures. This was due to the very dry air mass associated with the event with dew point temperatures only in the mid- and upper 20s in most cases. (The air temperature must drop to the dew point temperature for the formation of dew or frost to begin.) In retrospect, somewhat higher dewpoint temperatures that persisted across some southern sections of the state probably prevented air temperatures from falling to sub-freezing levels. (The air temperature in radiation cooling events typically falls to a minimum value at or near the dew point temperature.) In addition, seasonal growing degree accumulations and resulting phenological development rates had been lagging at least several days behind normal thus far, which may have prevented even greater damage.
A plot depicting representative conditions during the event is given in Figure 1. The data were taken from the Enviro-weather automated weather station near Ludington from 8:00 AM local time on May 27 through 8:00 AM on May 28. The air temperature fell to a minimum value of 25.8EF at 5:55 AM, and temperatures were at or below freezing between 12:45 AM to 7:15 AM, for a total of 6.5 hours duration. The role of the wind in a frost event can be seen clearly in this example, as the air temperature dropped rapidly to sub-freezing levels after 11:00 PM as the wind decreased to calm.
In general, wind acts to mix up the lower boundary layer of the atmosphere, slowing or preventing the formation of relatively colder air that forms just above the surface (This is why wind machines are used for frost protection.) Dew point temperature can be seen to decrease during the day and evening preceding the event, which was mainly due to large scale synoptic conditions (drier air moving into the state from the north). In contrast, the decreases late in the evening and the following morning are due more to the formation of dew and subsequently frost, as water vapor leaves the air and is deposited on the surface as water or ice. The reverse of this can be seen following sunrise on May 28, as sun shining on the surface leads to re-evaporation of the frost.
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| Figure 1. Five minute average values of air temperature (ºF, in red), dew (ºF, in blue) and wind speed (miles/hour, in green) at the Ludington Enviro-weather automated weather station, 8:00 AM May 27 through 8:00 AM May 28. |
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Dave Smitley, Entomology
Nothing is wrong. Early June is when maple petiole borer larvae finish feeding in the petioles of maple leaves, causing the blackened, restricted petiole (leaf stems) to break and the leaf to fall. The stems usually break at a darkened area near the leaf blade. Usually infestations are limited to sugar maples and only about 25 to 30 percent or less of the leaves fall to the ground. While spectacular, the leaf drop has little effect on tree health.
Sometimes spring storms also cause some maple leaves to drop. The best way to tell why the leaf dropped is to look at where the leaves came from. If you can still see a small petiole stub attached to the tree, it was most likely due to maple petiole borer. However, if the petiole broke cleanly at the base where it is attached to the tree, it was probably due to wind damage. |
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Dave Smitley, Entomology
By “worms” you probably mean caterpillars. Don’t get too excited by all the holes in your tree leaves, because caterpillar feeding damage does not affect tree health until more than 30 percent of the tree canopy is removed, and 30 percent canopy loss means that one-third of every leaf has been eaten, or one-third of all the leaves are gone. That level of feeding injury is rare and usually only happens with occasional outbreaks of gypsy moth, eastern tent caterpillar, forest tent caterpillar, fall webworms, orange-striped oakworm, mimosa webworm and a few others. Most of the feeding damage that I have seen on shade trees this week has been caused by spring and fall cankerworms.
Cankerworms are caterpillars with only two or three pairs of fleshy prolegs instead of the standard five pairs of prolegs that most caterpillars have. This causes them to “inch” or “loop” when the walk, and is why many people call them inchworms or loopers. Cankerworms rarely cause enough feeding damage to hurt shade trees, and the same is true for a large group of caterpillar species that are often referred to as “spring defoliators.” Enjoy the inchworms and don’t worry about your tree. |
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Tom Dudek, MSUE educator
Many maple trees across the area have a heavy population of maple samaras (i.e. helicopters, whirlers, twisters, etc.). Over the past week, these seeds have rained down on lawns, decks, roofs and gutters in many locations. Once they drop from the tree the canopy looks quite sparse. When trees put a great amount of effort into seed production leaf production took a back seat thus the tree looks sparser than normal. However, with adequate moisture and normal summer temperatures, most people will not notice this by late June as the trees will continue normal leaf development.
The main reason for the heavy seed crop in 2008 goes back to stressed growing conditions in 2007, which helped produce above average flower bud numbers. Also, no early freezes were observed to reduce flower numbers and good weather when flowers were out this spring contributed to a higher than normal percentages of flowers pollinated and forming seeds.
This type of issue is often present in commercial fruit tree orchards and is termed “alternate bearing” with some years a light crop of fruit and others being a heavy crop year.
Get ready to rake, sweep and pull maple seedlings over the next few weeks. |
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MSUE educator Duke Elsner captured videos of plants covered in frost this past week in Grand Traverse County. “I am amazed at how many of the plants looked real bad on Wednesday (May 28) morning. The day lilies, hollyhocks, daisies, phlox, lilacs and many others have perked back up from the wilted look and seem fine today (May 29). The iris buds that were still tight during the freeze have not pushed open yet, so I don't know what's up there” says Elsner. “The leaves of our spiderwort plants have remained in the frost-wilted position.”
View videos in Micrsoft media player format at:
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Andrea Buchholz
Assistant editor
The volcano mulch challenge ends this week with a submission from reader Brien Worrell. He could not resist sending us this photo of a poor tree buried by a 10 foot pile of mulch spotted in Novi, Michigan. Actually, the tree was placed in a pile of mulch by the local staff of Novi Middle school as a joke.
This wraps up our volcano mulch challenge: look for a new topic in next week’s issue
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| Click to view larger image. |
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Kevin Frank and Ron Calhoun
Crop and Soil Sciences
Every now and then I like to take out the turf crystal ball to see what may be lurking in the future. This spring the weather may have created the perfect storm for a crabgrass outbreak this summer. Temperatures have been cool with soil temperatures throughout much of May hovering between 50ºF and 60ºF at zero to two inches depth. Any significant rainfall has been lacking, which likely further delayed crabgrass germination. Eighty to 90 percent of crabgrass germination occurs when adequate moisture is present and soil temperatures are between 60ºF and 70ºF at zero to two inches depth. Neither of these requirements for crabgrass germination has been consistently met during May.
Instead of the spring being the time when the turfgrass recovered from any previous injuries and filled in the thin spots with aggressive growth, this year the turf has basically stood still and in some cases has probably even thinned due to the lack of rain. When there are thin spots in the turf, there is an opportunity for weeds to encroach. There’s a nice rain system developing across Michigan today, and if the rain actually hits the ground this time and warm temperatures follow, don’t be surprised to see crabgrass emerge. Preemergence application timing for crabgrass is usually between April 15 and May 15. Most lawn care companies will err on the early side because of the reliable medium and long-residual products available. Long residual preemergence products (Dimension and Barricade) provide eight to 10 weeks of control and should be fine if crabgrass germination tails off by mid-June. Timing is somewhat more critical for medium residual products (Team Pro and Pendulum) that typically last six to eight weeks. Even professional applications and homeowners that properly timed their preemergence applications based on soil temperatures may have breaks in control this year. Although trying to accurately predict weed germination is probably as difficult as predicting long range weather forecasts, don’t be surprised if 2008 is one of those banner crabgrass years.
See MSU Extension bulletin E0002 “Crabgrass Control in Home Lawns” for specific management and herbicide recommendations. The web link for the bulletin is www.turf.msu.edu/docs/E0002TURF.pdf. |
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Jill O’Donnell
Christmas Tree ICM educator
Temperatures dropped the beginning of this week into the mid-20s in many areas of northern Michigan. Reports of damage from growers are quite variable across the region. Frosts damage is characterized by wilting of the new shoots followed by browning of the affected growth. (See photos.) Christmas tree varieties that seem to have suffered the most injury are ones that break bud early and had the most growth – Douglas-fir (Lincoln source), Concolor, Corkbark and balsam fir. In our true fir variety trials, some of the exotic firs that showed injury were Siberian (Abies sibirica), Nordman (Abies nordmanniana), Ciliican (Abies cilicica), Farges (Abies fargesii) and Mayr Sakhalin (Abies mayr sachalinensis). When we have experienced frost/freeze in prior years, we have found that most trees are able to continue to put on new growth and little evidence of the frost damage remains later in the season. In some cases, it may be necessary to prune out damaged shoots, particularly if damage occurs near the terminal shoots.
The characteristic curling of the new growth caused by balsam twig aphid is showing up on Fraser and balsam fir trees. Insecticide treatment (unless systemic) from this time onward will likely do little to prevent damage; aphids are well protected within the shoots. The good news is that needles will continue to elongate for several weeks. By late summer, much of that damage will be outgrown. One thing you can do for yourself is to make a little map of your field that shows where the trees with the most aphid damage are this year. Then next spring, you will know where to focus your scouting and management activities.
If you are in the Pine Shoot Beetle Compliance Program and need to apply a cover spray for pine shoot beetle, get ready, especially if you are in southern Lower Michigan. The best time to spray will be right around 450-500 growing degree days base 50. At this point, the beetles are more or less starting to tunnel into shoots in synchrony. In contrast, if you wait until later in the summer, some beetles will be deep inside the shoot, some beetles will be dispersing; some will be beginning tunnels and so forth.
If you are enrolled in the compliance program, be sure to use an approved insecticide such as Lorsban or Baythroid.
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| Browning of frosted new growth on Concolor fir. |
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Douglas-fir needle midge is a relatively new pest to Michigan. To date, the only Douglas-fir needle midge we have found are around the Cadillac area. Needle midge adults are emerging now and live only a couple of days, just long enough to mate and lay eggs. The eggs are deposited in groups on newly expanding buds. Midge eggs hatch in a couple of days, and the larvae immediately bore into young needles. Larvae feed in the needles throughout the summer. When they are full grown in the fall, the larvae drop from the needles and spend the winter in the soil beneath infested trees. Apply a registered insecticide within a week after first adults are detected.
If you have Scotch pine trees that had high densities of pine needle scale last year and your fields are in southwest or southeastern Lower Michigan, you need to be scouting your trees right about now. The first generation of eggs will usually hatch around 300 degree days base 50. It's not necessary to apply an insecticide immediately after you see the reddish-colored crawlers. In fact, it's best to let the crawlers settle down and establish feeding sites on the needles (the hyaline stage – 400-500 GDD base 50). At this point, the immature scales are exposed and have not yet secreted the white, waxy protective armor. If you can apply your spray at this point and if you get good coverage, you should get good control. |
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| Frost on mountain ash. Surprisingly, the plant doesn't show much damage. |
Characteristic wilted new growth caused by freeze/frost injury. |
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| Distorted and curled new growth caused by balsam twig aphid. |
Douglas-fir needle midge adults. |
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Mike Bryan, MDA
Growers should note that the Dimilin spray window open date for the Upper Peninsula counties of Zone 5 has been set as Thursday, June 5. Statewide, the continued cool weather is expected to result in delayed end dates for all zones. Spruce, fir and Douglas-fir nursery stock being shipped to destinations outside the gypsy moth regulated area requires a new treatment once the spray window is open. The reason is that gypsy moth hatch is imminent and nursery stock is at risk for infestation by larvae “ballooning” on their silk. Those who ship nursery stock outside the regulated area should consult with MDA staff for obtaining certification to meet the USDA Gypsy Moth Quarantine.
The following chart shows actual and projected open/close dates for application of the two groups of pesticides used for regulatory treatment of gypsy moth in nursery stock and Christmas trees. We are listing the projected dates as guidelines to help you plan your pest management program. Since gypsy moth development will vary by location, you will need to monitor development around your farm. Weather conditions will affect caterpillar development and may effect end date of the spray windows. Growers should watch the Landscape Alert for additional announcements.
Zone |
Open – Dimilin (150 DD*) |
Open – all other compounds (200 DD) |
Close – Dimilin
(700 DD) |
Close – all other compounds (800 DD) |
1 |
May 1 |
May 6 |
June 9 (projected) |
June 15 (projected) |
2 |
May 1 |
May 6 |
June 15 (projected) |
June 20 (projected) |
3 |
May 6 |
May 17 |
June 21 (projected) |
June 27 (projected) |
4 |
May 10 |
May 21 |
June 28 (projected) |
July 4 (projected) |
5 |
May 16 - Lower Peninsula counties only in Zone 5 |
May 27 – L.P. counties only in Zone 5 |
July 3 (projected) |
July 11 (projected) |
5 |
June 5 - Upper Peninsula counties only in Zone 5 |
U.P. counties in Zone 5 delayed until after June 9 |
July 3 (projected) |
July 11 (projected) |
* DD = Degree days at base 50ºF.
Note: Projections are based on 30-year historical degree day data.
Zone map – A list of counties comprising each zone and a statewide zone map appeared in the April 18, 2008 edition of the Landscape Alert. |
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Howard Russell
Diagnostic Services
Normally, we can expect to see swarms of spring mosquitoes around the middle of May. Up until last night, our cool weather had pretty much kept these blood thirsty little buggers at bay around my house, but last night when I was watering the vegetable garden just before dusk I got hammered by a swarm of them. The cool weather was great while it lasted, but now it’s time to get the repellent out.
Most of the repellents we buy at the store have DEET as the active ingredient. The EPA has recently approved another active ingredient called Picaridin for use in the United States. Picaridin is a colorless, nearly odorless liquid active ingredient that is used as an insect repellant against biting flies, mosquitoes, chiggers and ticks. Picaridin products have been sold in Europe and Australia for several years before being introduced to the U.S. market in 2005. Products contain a range of five to 20 percent of the active ingredient.
The EPA recommends the following precautions when using insect repellents:
- Apply repellents only to exposed skin or clothing (as directed on the product label.) Do not use repellents under clothing.
- Never use repellents over cuts, wounds or irritated skin.
- Do not apply to eyes or mouth, and apply sparingly around ears. When using sprays, do not spray directly on face — spray on hands first and then apply to face.
- Do not allow children to handle the product. When using on children, apply to your own hands first and then put it on the child. You may not want to apply to children’s hands.
- Use just enough repellent to cover exposed skin or clothing. Heavy application and saturation are generally unnecessary for effectiveness. If biting insects do not respond to a thin film of repellent, then apply a bit more.
After returning indoors, wash treated skin with soap and water or bathe. This is particularly important when repellents are used repeatedly in a day or on consecutive days. Also, wash treated clothing before wearing it again. (This precaution may vary with different repellents — check the product label.)
If you or your children get a rash or other bad reaction from an insect repellent, stop using the repellent, wash the repellent off with mild soap and water, and call a local poison control center for further guidance. If you go to a doctor because of the repellent, take the repellent with you to show the doctor.
For more on the active ingredients in insect repellents see the EPA web site at:
http://www.epa.gov/pesticides/health/mosquitoes/ai_insectrp.htm |
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Howard Russell, Diagnostic Services
Hannah Stevens, MSU/E Macomb County
Hannah Stevens took some photographs of a Euonymus tree that was completely covered in webbing. The foliage appears nearly gone. Based on her photographs of the caterpillars doing the damage, I was able to tell her that the Euonymus caterpillar was at it again.
The Euonymus caterpillar, Yponomeuta cagnagella (Lepidoptera: Yponomeutidae) is a European species that was first reported in North America in Ontario in 1967. The larvae (caterpillars) feed in colonies that envelop the foliage in large silken webs. They are defoliators of primarily Euonymus europaea, E. kiautschovicus, and E. alatus and can kill the shrub if heavy infestations occur year after year. The female moth lays eggs in mid- to late July and covers them with a gummy secretion that hardens into a shell that protects the eggs and newly hatched larvae. The eggs hatch in mid-August and the larvae immediately prepare to overwinter under their eggshell. There is no further activity until the following year, when larvae make small webs and feed on new leaves. Cocoon formation begins in late June and adult moths appear a few weeks later. There is only one generation per year. Larvae can be controlled with a single application of insecticide spray when the small webs appear in the spring. I think it’s too late for Hannah’s tree though.
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Euonymus caterpillars in their nest.
Photo by Hannah Stevens, MSU/E Macomb County |
A Euonymus tree covered with webbing from the Euonymus caterpillar. Photo by Hannah Stevens, MSU/E Macomb County. |
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| A close up of Euonymus caterpillars. Photo J. LaForestUniversity of Georgia. Courtesy of Forestryimages.org |
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Howard Russell
Diagnostic Services
Our cool weather has likely slowed the work of the European paper wasp too. Polistes dominulus was first discovered in the United States in Cambridge, Massachusetts in 1981. It was first found in Michigan in 1994. P. dominulus is the most common paper wasp in Western Europe. The European paper wasp prefers to nest in cavities, but will build on a vertical surface as long it is protected by some type of overhang. This wasp seems to attack people with much less provocation than our native species of paper wasps. Paper wasps can be controlled by spraying the nests with one of the many long-range wasp and hornet sprays, and now is the time to do it because the nests are small and the wasps are not as aggressive as they will be later in the summer.
I recently completed a survey of our top ten insects that invade Michigan homes for Dr. Whitney Cranshaw with Colorado State University. I mentioned the European paper wasp. Here is what Whitney had to say about them in Colorado.
“I noticed your comment on the European paper wasp. That insect has been huge out here in recent years. It took over in a phenomenally short period of time. In addition to the stinging/nuisance issues (complicated by its very close superficial similarity to the western yellowjacket), the insect has decimated backyard Lepidoptera. It has had such an impact that I no longer discuss cabbageworms or hornworms in Master Gardener programs – they are too rare. Also, I usually drop butterfly gardening as a topic, as they eat the butterfly larvae.”
Whitney put together a very nice fact sheet on them. See it at: http://www.ext.colostate.edu/pubs/insect/05611.html
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The European paper wasp.
Photo Credit: D. Cappaert, MSU
Courtesy of Forestryimages.org |
Save yourself and your butterfly caterpillars, locate and spray ‘em now when they’re easy to control.
Photo by H. Russell, Diagnostic Services. |
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Elizabeth Wahle
University of Illinois Extension specialist, horticulture
Editor’s note: With the recent frost event, this article from the University of Illinois Extension is timely. This article was originally published on April 14, 2007.
"Rhubarb should not be harvested when the leaves are wilted and limp after a hard freeze," warns Elizabeth Wahle, University of Illinois Extension horticulture specialist. "Not only do the leafstalks acquire a poor flavor and texture, but the leaves and eventually the stem may become toxic."
Wahle says rhubarb leaves should never be eaten, and petioles (the part you eat) should be harvested only from plants that have suffered no frost damage. Rhubarb leaves contain oxalic acid, a toxic substance that may move into the petioles after frost damage. When consumed, the oxalic acid can crystallize in the kidneys and cause permanent damage to the organs.
All petioles that have been exposed to freezing temperatures should be removed and discarded. The re-growth is safe to eat. As normal harvest begins, always leave at least one-third of the petioles un-harvested to sustain the plant.
Asparagus harvest has been interrupted by the recent cold weather as well. Unlike rhubarb, asparagus does not become toxic after exposure to freezing temperatures. In fact, rhubarb is one of the few crops that have this characteristic.
"As asparagus starts to re-grow, expect to see some frost damage on the tips of the first spears," says Wahle. "The spears are still edible but most likely will have a softer texture which results in an even shorter shelf life.
"Harvest can continue until spears become thinner, appearing somewhat spindly. This thinning is a signal from the root system to stop harvesting and allow the ferns to grow. |
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Vera Bitsch
Agriculture, Food and Resource Economics
This April, the hourly wage for agricultural workers in the United States stood at $10.60, up 40 cents from a year ago. Field workers received $9.65, up 30 cents from a year ago. Livestock workers made $10.32, up 63 cents from a year ago. This wage rate includes supervisors and other workers, such as bookkeepers and pilots. Wage rates do not include the value of benefits. Total hired workers are estimated at 919,000 individuals, down by 7 percent compared to last year. The number of hours worked is up only slightly at 41 percent
Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin make up the Lake region. For the three states, the number of hours worked stood at 39.0 hours during this April. The total number of workers, excluding agricultural service workers, is estimated at 52,000 individuals, compared to 56,000 during last April. The average wage rate for all hired workers was $11.25 per hour, up 17 cents from a year ago. Only, Hawaii with $13.28, the Cornbelt I region (Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio) with $11.43, and the Cornbelt II region (Iowa, Missouri) region with $11.88 paid higher wages. Field workers in the Lake region earned $10.57 per hour, up 46 cents. Livestock workers earned $10.78 per hour, up 79 cents.
In addition to analyzing wage rates by type of worker, NASS provides wage data by type of farm with slightly different results. These data combine field workers and livestock workers, but exclude other typically higher paid groups. The average hourly wage rates in 48 states, excluding Alaska and Hawaii, during this April were $9.87 overall, $9.84 for field crop farms, $9.66 for other crop farms, and $10.20 for livestock and poultry farms. Last year those rates were $9.41, $9.36, $9.39, and $9.47, respectively, indicating notable wage increases.
The hourly wage rates in the Lake region were $10.70 for all farms, $10.08 for other crops, and $10.78 for livestock and poultry farms. There was insufficient data to calculate the wages for field crop farms. Last year the wages in the Lake region were $10.05 for all farms, $10.82 for field crop farms, $9.72 for other crop farms, and $10.13 for livestock and poultry farms. Overall, the Lake region has seen considerable wage increases.
To read Dr. Bitsch’s complete newsletter go to her website at http://www.msu.edu/user/bitsch. Under “News” click on “U.S. Agricultural Labor Statistics for Spring 2008” or click on “Agricultural Labor Issues in Michigan” for a list of available newsletters.
For more details, the NASS release is available at http://www.usda.gov/nass/. Select “Publications” and then “Reports Calendar” or “Publications” and then “Search,” by “Title” or “Subject” (Farm Labor). |
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Jeff Andresen
Agricultural Meteorology
Geography
A strengthening area of low pressure over the central Great Plains on the morning of Friday, May 30, will make its way through the Great Lakes region during the next 24-36 hours, leading to several rounds of showers and thunderstorms across Michigan. Some storms may become severe across southern sections of the state Friday afternoon and evening, especially if clouds thin enough Friday afternoon to allow surface heating. Scattered showers may linger in spots early Saturday, followed by clearing late in the day. Significant rainfall is expected over much of Michigan through Saturday morning with 0.50-1.0 inch totals expected across much of the state.
Following the passage of the low pressure area Saturday, fair weather with seasonable temperatures are expected in most areas of the state Sunday and Monday. Temperatures during the next several days will remain at more seasonable levels with highs ranging from the low or mid-60s north to the upper 70s south and lows from the upper 40s north to the upper 50s south. A second area of low pressure is expected to bring another chance for rainfall by late Tuesday or Wednesday of next week.
In the medium‑range forecast period, a broad upper air ridge across central sections of the United States with troughs on both west and east coasts is expected to gradually give way to a trough across the western United States with southwesterly flow across the Midwest. The National Weather Service 6‑10 day outlook covering June 4 through June 8 calls for an active weather pattern with temperatures ranging from above normal levels in extreme southeastern sections of the state to near normal elsewhere and for above normal precipitation totals statewide. The 8‑14 day outlook for June 6 through June 12 reflects the upper air transition noted above and calls for temperatures to increase to above normal levels statewide with precipitation ranging from near normal in the Lower Peninsula to above normal levels in the Upper Peninsula.
In our discussion of the new long lead outlooks, it is worth taking note of the recent series of tornadoes and severe weather across the Midwest and other sections of the country. As of the May 26, NOAA=s Storm Prediction Center had tallied 1,191 tornadoes across the United States so far this year, which is more than 500 more than normal for the date and approaching the normal annual total of 1,270. One of the tornadoes last weekend in Iowa was an extremely violent enhanced Fujita scale level 5 tornado (the most severe type) with winds in excess of 200 mph and a path more than one mile wide.
If this unusual frequency and pace of accumulation were to continue throughout the entire 2008 severe weather season into the fall (very unlikely), this year=s total would break the all time record of 1,819 tornadoes set in 2004. Causes of the unusually active season are not completely clear at this point. One important issue was the abnormally early start of the severe weather season in January (including a very rare tornado outbreak in Illinois and Wisconsin on January 7) across sections of the south and Midwest. Climatologically, a very likely link was/is the presence of a La Niña event in the equatorial Pacific, which in turn was linked with an abnormally active jet stream storm track from the southwestern United States into the Midwest (and to record heavy seasonal snowfall totals in portions of the Upper Midwest). Tornado outbreaks in the central United States are typically associated with an upper air trough in the western United States and a ridge across the east, a strong southwesterly jet stream, and to a warm and humid air mass (Gulf of Mexico origin) on the surface. These key ingredients have unfortunately been present together much more frequently than usual so far this year.
There is some suggestion in the long lead outlooks that the pattern so conducive to severe weather may gradually come to an end at some point during the next several weeks. La Niña conditions in the Pacific are expected to gradually diminish by mid- or late summer, which is reflected in the new NOAA outlooks. For June, the outlook is linked to recent weather patterns and to medium-range forecast guidance in suggesting cooler and wetter than normal weather for nearly all of Michigan and other adjacent sections of the Great Lakes region. For the 3-month June through August period, the outlook for mean temperatures and precipitation totals remains in the climatology scenario of near equal odds of below-, near- and above normal levels. The outlook generally calls for Michigan to remain between areas of cooler and wetter than normal weather across southern sections of the country and warmer and drier than normal to our west (see http://ipm.msu.edu/cat08fruit/pdf/5-27weather.pdf). |
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