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Vol. 19, No. 2, April 22, 2004

In this Issue
Soybean aphids hatching in Mid-Michigan
Soybean aphid, Part 2: Scouting for aphids in 2004
Winter and early spring weather may lead to insect problems
How much N is needed for corn production?
Micro-rate herbicide applications underway in 2004
Soybean planting populations for 2004
Records of manure applications
Calibrating drills for soybean production
New Michigan law requires water use reporting for high capacity agricultural wells in 2004
Regional reports
Spring has sprung


Next issue -- May 6th

  Regional Reports Southeast region Southwest region West Central Region Central Region Thumb region Northern Lower Peninsula
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Soybean aphids hatching in Mid-Michigan

Christina DiFonzo, Entomology

As of Saturday, April 17, tiny soybean aphids were present on potted buckthorn near the MSU campus. See the April 8, 2004, CAT Alert for an article on soybean aphid overwintering and crop colonization

 

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Soybean aphid, Part 2: Scouting for aphids in 2004

Christina DiFonzo, Entomology

After soybean aphid (SBA) damaged many fields in 2003, most people realize that scouting for aphids can pay for itself. Although SBA is a relatively new pest in the U.S., researchers have learned a lot about this insect in the last several years. In December 2003, entomologists from 11 universities plus the Canadian government met in Chicago for a one-day work session on SBA. By the end of the day, we reviewed data from field trials across the Midwest, and developed consensus recommendations for scouting and treatment thresholds for the 2004 field season. Below is a summary of this consensus. You can also find this information in a 15-page glossy bulletin produced by the North-Central Soybean Research Program (NCSRP), published as an insert in a March issue of the Soybean Digest Magazine. It is also available online in a slightly different form at the NCSRP's Plant health Initiative web site at: http://www.planthealth.info/soyaphid.htm

Finding aphid on soybean
 In previous seasons, we found soybean aphids very soon on newly emerged plants; many fields in central Michigan are thus colonized in June. These aphids are coming off of their overwintering host, buckthorn, and looking for soybean. Searching for aphids early in the season may seem like looking for a needle in a haystack, but here are a few tips.

§      Look for plants with ladybugs. Ladybugs are looking for lunch, and they are better than you at finding small aphid colonies on plants.
§     
Look for plants with ants. Ants eat the sticky honeydew secreted by aphids. We have observed several different ant species tending aphids up on soybean plants. The ants protect aphids from predators - for example, ladybugs. Essentially, the ants are farming the aphids like cattle! So, early in the season, use ladybugs and ants to help you find SBA.

Scouting
When? Although SBA colonizes soybeans in June, it takes a few weeks for the aphids to increase in the field. Therefore, I recommend first scout soybean fields at the end of June or the first week of July in southern and central Michigan. If you know certain areas have buckthorn nearby, target these fields first.

What? Examine whole plants. In the past, I tried to develop a rating system to quickly assess the numbers of aphids per leaflet or leaf. These rating systems worked well when we had thousands of aphids per plant or evaluated an insecticide trial. But they don't work as well to determine if aphid numbers are at threshold. Also, researchers found that aphids redistribute themselves on the plant as the season progresses, probably due to temperature or nutritional status of different parts of the plant. This made it difficult to develop a rating system based on a particular plant part. Bottom line, entomologists across the Midwest agree that whole-plant counts are the preferred method to scout for aphids, and the threshold for soybean aphid (see following section) is based on a whole-plant count.

 Where? You can scout for aphids at any location in your field. Research in Minnesota tracking aphid colonization of fields shows that "edge effects" are weak for SBA. Edges of fields next to buckthorn do get aphids a bit sooner than other parts of the field, but by the time many winged aphids appear in the population, they move around the landscape and rain out across the field. In Michigan, we do find hot spots associated with low potassium levels - high numbers of aphids in yellowing patches - but this usually occurs later in the summer when aphid numbers in general are already over threshold.

How long? For the most part, optimum spray timing occurs between mid-July into early August, so scouting should be targeted across that time period. You may have to visit fields several times in July to determine if aphid numbers are increasing towards threshold (In 2002, they did not!). If you have limited time, continue to check untreated fields in favor of revisiting treated fields - the majority of data I've seen does not show an economic advantage to treating twice, so it is unlikely you need to continue scouting to make another application. Remember, in 2003 aphid numbers increased later in the season at some locations in the Thumb, so I can't rule out checking unsprayed fields in August.

Pay attention to:

§      Fields with buckthorn nearby (colonized earlier in the season)
§      Late-planted or double-cropped beans (have high aphid populations later in the season)
§      Fields under drought stress (yield loss from aphids is greater under drought)
§      Fields with potassium deficiency, such as sandy soil type or beans planted after alfalfa (appears to be an interaction between low K and SBA)

The threshold
Researchers from the University of Minnesota gathered data from various university research trials to relate aphid number to soybean yield. They calculated the aphid density that led to an average yield loss of $12 per acre (the average cost of treatment in Minnesota in 2003). Then they took this aphid density and modified it to build in a seven-day spray window. This essentially reduces the threshold by several magnitudes to 250 SBA per plant. We feel comfortable using this threshold for soybeans in the vegetative stage, the R1 /R2 stages (flowering), and the R3 / R4 stages (early pod formation). After R4 (generally mid-August and beyond), we believe the threshold is higher, although we do not yet have data to modify the threshold for late-season populations.

Why build extra time into the threshold? If you couldn't take action immediately when insects are at the point of causing $12 loss (For example, it rains before spraying or you need to purchase insecticide.), then you would already be losing significant yield by the time you treat. The seven-day spray window for soybean aphid is a bit longer than most, but for good reason. First, data from the laboratory shows that under optimal temperature conditions (77°F) SBA populations can double in 1.5 days. This is one of the fastest doubling times recorded for an aphid. This also explains why fields seem to go from OK to bad in a matter of days! So, providing a few days buffer allows you to recognize aphids are at threshold and do something about it before suffering yield loss. Second, from experiences in 2003, we know when aphids become a problem on one farm, they are often a problem across an entire region. You need a spray, your neighbor needs a spray, everyone needs a spray. Commercial applicators may have trouble meeting demand in a short time frame. We also had shortages of certain insecticides in 2003. A seven-day spray window eases some of this pressure so that you can afford to wait a few days before application. So, again, the threshold for 2004 is 250 aphids per plant - and this threshold was agreed upon by most Extension entomologists in the Midwest.

One final practical note
For researchers conducting trials on thresholds and yield loss, it is important to know the number of aphids per plant. However, I realize that a threshold based on number of aphids per plant is inconvenient and time consuming for most others. The good thing is that isn't that difficult to recognize a field at threshold with a little practice. What will a field look like if it is near threshold?

§      Most, if not all, of the plants will be infested.
§      Actively growing leaflets at the top of the plant often will be covered with aphids. Two to three heavily infested leaflets probably amounts to 250 aphids.
§      The populations will be high enough on certain plants that some aphids move to the stems or developing pods.

So, if 90 percent of the plants in a field have multiple, heavily-infested leaflets, plus some aphids beginning to infest stems, for practical purposes the field is likely near or at threshold.

In the May 6 edition of the CAT Alert, I will discuss soybean aphid and insecticides.

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Winter and early spring weather may lead to insect problems

Christina DiFonzo, Entomology

Despite cold temperatures during part of the winter, good snow cover across much of Michigan probably protected many overwintering insects from the effects of cold. Therefore, I expect winter survival to be high for many of pest species. The early spring warm up, coupled with lack of rain, means that some corn and soybean fields have already been planted. Early-planted fields are at risk for certain insect problems, and since many of these insects also overwinter in Michigan, we could see some atypical cases of heavy damage.

In corn
§      Corn rootworm: Eggs hatch in May and June. Earlier planted fields often have a larger root mass by the time of egg hatch, and sometimes can experience more damage.
§      European chafer: Overwinter as grubs in the field. Generally stop feeding in May, pupate, and emerge as adult beetles. Fields planted earlier are at risk for root feeding.
§      European corn borer: Larvae overwinter in crop residue. Adults will emerge in May. Females are attracted to the earliest emerging (tallest) corn for egg-laying.
§      Flea hopper: Overwinter as adults. May carry and transmit the Stewarts wilt pathogen important in seed and sweet corn production. Likely survived the winter well this year.
§      Slugs: Can be a greater problem in early-planted fields with heavy residue that emerge slowly under cool, wet conditions (providing a greater time for slug damage). However, dry conditions do not favor slugs.

In soybean:
§      Bean leaf beetle: Adults overwinter in woodlots, leaf litter, and crop debris. Adults become active in April, spend time in alfalfa, then move to soybean fields to feed. Early emerging soybean fields are thus most at risk for damage.
§      Slugs: Can be a greater problem in early-planted fields with heavy residue that emerge slowly under cool, wet conditions (providing a greater time for slug damage). However, dry conditions do not favor slugs.

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How much N is needed for corn production?

Carrie Laboski
Crop & Soil Sciences

This article is a follow-up to the February 6, 2004 article titled Begin Planning Your Nitrogen Applications Now. That article summarized the findings of a study conducted in 2002 and 2003 regarding N rates for corn and performance of the PSNT. The data presented in that article can also be looked at a little differently to gain some insight into how much N is needed for corn production. Table 1 provides the maximum and economic yield and N rate for all 14 locations. Economic yield was determined by calculating the N rate above, which the income from the additional yield was not larger than the cost of N needed to increase yield. This was accomplished using $2.00/bu corn and $0.20/lb N. The economic yield would be the same for $3.00/bu corn and $0.30/lb N or $2.50/bu corn and $0.25/lb N. Nitrogen efficiency was calculated by dividing the N rate needed to produce the maximum or economic yield by that yield, resulting in the pounds of N required to produce a bushel of corn.

N efficiency for maximum yield ranged from 0.33 to 0.97 lb N/bu while N efficiency for economic yield ranged from 0 to 0.80 lb N/bu. The nitrogen efficiency is less than what has traditionally been considered necessary to produce a bushel of corn: 1.1 to 1.2 lb N/bu. The highest yielding location, Monroe, only need 0.58 lb N/bu corn. So trying to go for high yield by bumping N rates may not be the most successful approach.

One might ask: What does all this mean? Is it a result of two years with dry weather conditions in late summer? Good questions. I don't think that the results are specific to weather conditions because researchers in Minnesota, Nebraska and Wisconsin have had similar findings in recent years. Is it related to better genetics or higher fertility status of our soils? Perhaps, researchers don't really know for certain.

The question then is: How do I use this information? Considering that the price of N today is still on the high side, ranging from $0.27/ lb N for urea to $0.32/lb N for 28% UAN, one might think about adjusting N rates. For example, if you are using MSU's N recommendations with a 150 bu yield goal, you would apply 175 lb N/a ([1.36 x yield goal] - 27 = 177). So if you dropped your N rate back to 1 lb N/bu (greater than any of the efficiencies for maximum yield in Table 1), you would apply 25 lb less N, saving $6.75/a to $8/a depending on your N source. Remember that the N efficiencies for economic yield are lower than maximum yield. Thus, it may be possible to reduce N rates further (eg. 0.9 lb N/bu), saving even more money. Based on the data shown in Table 1, the probability of short changing yourself on yield is minimal and the probability of saving on input costs is high. An additional benefit to reducing N rates is that lower amounts of unused N will create fewer water quality concerns downstream.

This study is being conducted again in 2004 with locations in Barry, Calhoun, Cass, Clinton, Ingham, St. Clair, and Osceola counties. Perhaps this time next year we will have more answers.

 

Table 1. N required for corn production in 2002 and 2003.

 

-------- Yield --------

----- N rate for: -----

----- N Efficiency -----

Location

Maximum

Economic

Maximum Yield

Economic Yield

Maximum Yield

Economic Yield

 

--------- bu/a ---------

-------- lb N/a -------

-------- lb N/bu --------

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

Barry

143

140

119

112

0.83

0.80

Ingham

151

142

73

62

0.48

0.44

Saginaw

159

153

109

96

0.69

0.63

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

Barry

169

162

100

100

0.59

0.62

Cass

138

126

58

50

0.42

0.40

Calhoun

137

127

100

0

0.73

0

Gratiot

179

173

100

100

0.56

0.58

Ingham 1

143

143

112

112

0.78

0.78

Ingham 2

154

160

136

120

0.88

0.75

Monroe

194

184

113

100

0.58

0.54

Montcalm

171

169

57

54

0.33

0.32

Osceola

155

145

66

50

0.43

0.34

Saginaw

171

163

131

90

0.77

0.55

St. Clair

134

123

130

54

0.97

0.44

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Micro-rate herbicide applications underway in 2004

Christy Sprague
Crop & Soil Sciences

Warm spring weather and the recent rains have given sugar beets and weed seedlings a jump in emergence compared to the last several years. This early emergence starts the beginning of micro-rate herbicide applications. Timing these applications is critical in providing good weed control and reducing sugar beet injury. Over the last couple of years, several growers have moved to timing micro-rate herbicide applications based on growing degree days (GDD). From recent surveys, approximately 45 percent of Michigan growers using micro-rates for weed control are tracking GDD. A majority of these growers are basing their micro-rate timings on 225 GDD (base 34°F) while others are using other variations between 200 and 250 GDD depending on weed populations and soil types. By timing their micro-rate applications using GDD, many of these growers have been able to maintain good weed control, reduce sugar beet injury, and reduce the number of micro-rate trips across the field equating to reduced weed control costs.

General recommendations for GDD micro-rate applications

The first micro-rate application should be made when weeds are less than 1/8-inch tall. Normally, this occurs around 275 GDD with early emerging weed species like common lambsquarters; however this year we have noticed earlier common lambsquarters and velvetleaf emergence with the warmer temperatures, and in some cases, have had common lambsquarters ready to treat at 200 GDD. Therefore, it is important to start scouting for the first micro-rate application earlier this season.

For the remainder of the micro-rate applications, research from MSU has shown applying micro-rates on a 225 GDD schedule has shown the most consistent weed control across species while reducing the potential for sugar beet injury. However, in fields with sandy or darker soils (high organic matter) and high weed pressures it is suggested to check fields at 150 GDD and time applications for 175 GDD. For growers who want to adjust the timing of micro-rates relative to weed emergence it may be possible to lengthen the spray interval early in the season (April) to 275 GDD when common lambsquarters is the predominant weed. In May, this interval should be shortened to 225 GDD until pigweeds (redroot pigweed and Powell amaranth) start to emerge, then micro-rate applications should be made every 175 to 200 GDD.

GDD calculations
There are several good calculators out there to help calculate GDD for micro-rate herbicide applications. Both Michigan Sugar Company (http://www.michiganbeets.com) and Monitor Sugar Company (http://www.monitorsugar.com/growers/index.php) have excellent calculators to help determine GDD in the different sugar beet growing areas. Additionally, you can calculate this information yourself by accessing the Michigan Automated Weather Network or MAWN (http://www.agweather.geo.msu.edu/mawn/) website to gather high and low air temperature information for you area.

GDD Formula = (High Temp + Low Temp)/2 - 34°F

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Soybean planting populations for 2004

Kurt Thelen
Crop & Soil Sciences

Recent research conducted in the North Central Corn Belt suggests that soybean planting populations may be able to be dialed back somewhat without compromising yield, or more importantly, profitability. Research conducted by Jim Beuerlein at Ohio State University showed a most profitable seeding rate in high productivity fields of 145,000 soybean seeds per acre. In low productivity fields, the most profitable seeding rate was approximately 200,000 seeds per acre. The economic analyses of the Ohio study concluded that as soybean seed cost increased, the most profitable planting population decreased regardless of the growing conditions in the field.

What does this mean for Michigan soybean growers? Well, with soybeans prices forecasted to be relatively high, growers do not want to compromise yield. However, recent studies, including the one mentioned above, clearly show that it is not necessary to continually increase soybean planting populations in order to obtain maximum yield. Unlike corn, soybean has a great propensity to compensate or "flex" when plant populations vary. Therefore, the optimal planting population range is wider for soybean than it is for corn. Determining the minimal scale of that optimal soybean planting population range will optimize profitability and still maintain yield. As a starting point, begin with a planting population of 175,000 seeds per acre for drilled systems and 130,000 seeds per acre for 30 inch rows and then adjust down or up from there based upon field productivity and planting conditions.

Several things to consider when operating on the low end of the optimum planting population range include managing in a manner that maximizes emergence and seedling survival. Calibrate your drill or planter to ensure that seed drop is adequate and uniform across all rows. This is important to do every year as seed size and planter mechanical efficiency and wear can vary from year to year. Avoid planting when soil conditions are less than optimal to facilitate good seed to soil contact and seedling germination. Inoculate soybean seed with Rhizobium bacteria regardless of field history. Finally, consider using fungicide-treated seed (Be sure it is labeled for use with your soybean inoculant.) to protect against soil borne root diseases.

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Records of manure applications

Natalie Rector

On tile-drained fields: Please, keep records of manure applications on tile-drained lands. We have known instances of manure reaching tile lines and moving to surface waters. What we need are records of all the times that manure is spread on tile-drained fields and does not reach surface waters. The only way to verify this is if producers keep records of manure applications. On tile-drained fields, check the tile outlets before you spread and directly after you spread. If there is no change in tile outflow, or no flow at all, document this on paper.

If you find that manure is moving to the tile lines, stop spreading immediately, contact the Pollution Emergency Alerting System 1-800-292-4706 and seek corrective actions.

There is more concern for manure reaching tile lines when very dilute manure (often milk house wash-water) is applied at high rates. The current soil moisture conditions will also increase or decrease the chance of this occurring. Manure applications need to be done on a field-by-field basis and observe and evaluate the situation each day as weather conditions change.

On non-tiled fields: Records are important to keep of any manure application on all fields. Record keeping is necessary to receive nuisance protection under the Right to Farm GAAMPs and will also improve your crop nutrient management. When the rate per acre of manure is know, the rate of nutrients can be calculated, fertilizer can be adjusted accordingly, money can be saved and environmental quality can be maintained.

Several different record keeping formats are available at http://www.maeap.org/cnmp.htm including a version in Spanish. There is also a pocket-size notebook available by contacting MSUE’s Natalie Rector at 269-781-0908 or rector@msu.edu

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Calibrating drills for soybean production

Mike Staton, Extension ANR Agent

Variations in the size of soybean seed can lead to excessive or inadequate populations if drills are not properly calibrated. Dropping too many seeds can increase disease problems, plant lodging and seed costs. Dropping too few seeds can increase weed competition due to insufficient shading. Dr. Jim Beuerlein, Soybean Agronomist at the Ohio State University, has developed a rule of thumb for determining the most economical planting population. Dr. Beuerlein recommends using the average height that past crops have reached in a given field to determine your drilled soybean population for that field. If your beans typically average 20 inches tall at harvest, you should plant 225,000 seeds per acre. Plant 175,000 seeds per acre where beans will grow to 30 inches and 125,000 seeds per acre where beans will grow to be 40 inches tall. These recommendations are based on a 95 percent germination test, timely planting and good soil conditions.

After you have determined your desired seeding rate, you need to calibrate your drill to deliver this rate. Three easy calibration methods are listed below.

Method 1 - field calibration
1)    Locate your drill's row width and corresponding 1/100th acre feet for that row in Table 1. (For example, 1/100th acre for seven-inch rows is 746.7 feet).
2)    Measure this distance in the field and mark each end with a flag.
3)    Disconnect several seed tubes and attach large (1 gallon), plastic freezer bags to the bottom of the seed cups using rubber bands, wire or hose clamps.
4)    Lower the openers and drive the course laid out in step #2.
5)    At the end of the course, carefully detach the bags and weigh them. Multiply the total weight by 100 and divide by the number of seed cups from which you caught seed. This equals the pounds of seed per acre.
6)    Multiply pounds of seed per acre times the number of seeds per pound listed on the bag of seed to get seeds per acre.

Table 1. Row Lengths for 1/100th Acre at Various Row Widths

Row width (inches)

1 Acre (feet)

1/100th Acre (feet)

6

87,120

871.2

7

74,666

746.7

7.5

69,696

697.0

8

65,337

653.4

Method 2 - seeds per foot
1)    Locate a flat, compacted and straight area where the drill can be operated.
2)    Reduce down pressure springs and/or set the depth control as shallow as possible.
3)    Operate the drill at the desired speed, dropping seed on the ground.
4)    Lay a yardstick beside the seed and count the number of seeds. Do this at least five (5) times.
5)    Determine the average number of seeds per foot.
6)    Use Table 2 to determine the number of seeds per acre from the seeds per foot.

Table 2. Target seeding rates in seeds per acre and seeds per foot of row

Desired seeding rate (seeds per acre)

Row width (inches)

6

7

7.5

8

--seeds per foot of row--

225,000

2.6

3.0

3.2

3.4

175,000

2.0

2.3

2.5

2.7

125,000

1.4

1.7

1.8

1.9

Method 3 - seed replacement
1)    Fill the drill and level the seed so that it is even with the top of the seed box.
2)    Lower the openers and plant one pass in the field at your desired speed.
3)    Use a measuring wheel to determine the length that you planted.
4)    Multiply the length by the width of the drill to figure the area planted
(1200 feet long x 15 feet wide = 18,000 square feet).
5)    Refill the drill precisely as in step #1.
6)    Weigh the amount of seed remaining in the seed bag and subtract this from the weight of the full bag to find out how many pounds of seed you have planted in the area calculated in step #4.
(50 lbs. (full bag of seed) - 29 lbs. (seed remaining in the bag) = 21 lbs. of seed planted)
7)    Determine how many pounds of seed you planted per acre.
(lbs. of seed planted in test x sq. ft. per acre/sq. ft. in the test) = lbs. of seed per acre.
(21 lbs. of seed x 43,560 square feet ¸ 18,000 square feet = 51 lbs. of seed per acre)
8)    Multiply pounds of seed per acre by the seeds per pound listed on your bag to get seeds per
acre. (51 lbs. per acre x 3500 seeds per lb. = 178,500 seeds per acre)

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New Michigan law requires water use reporting for high capacity agricultural wells in 2004

Bruce MacKellar, Lyndon Kelley and Steve Siegelin
MSU Field Crops AoE

P.A. 148 of 2003 - Water Use Reporting
§      Requires owners of high capacity agricultural wells to report their water usage to the Michigan Department of Environmental Quality (MDEQ) or the Michigan Department of Agriculture (MDA) each year. Large capacity wells are defined as those with the capacity to withdraw 100,000 gallons per day (70 gallons per minute).

§      The combined capacity of more than one well at a site that exceeds 100,000 gallons or more per day (greater than 70 gallons per minute), also meets the large capacity well definition.

§      Water use reporting will also include surface water withdraws with single or combined pump capacity of 100,000 gallons per day (70 gallons per minute).

§      These laws apply to all agricultural water uses (irrigation, hydro-cooling, on-farm crop processing/packing, animal watering, etc.).

§      Agricultural producers have the option of either reporting water usage to the MDEQ or the Michigan Department of Agriculture. There is a reporting fee of $100 for high capacity well owners to report to MDEQ, the fee is waived for agricultural producers who report to MDA.

§      Irrigators must decide which agency they plan to report by October 1, 2004 or they will be required to report to the MDEQ. Links are provided to each below.

§      Agricultural high capacity well owners need to begin keeping monthly water use records in 2004, and will be required to report water withdrawals in January of 2005. The MDA will assemble township-level reports each year and forward the information to the MDEQ.

§      Records must include the following:

§      Amount of water used per month
§      Acreage for each irrigated crop
§      Source of the water (well or surface)
§      Location of the well (GPS Coordinates for MDEQ, township for MDA)
§      Intended use if other than irrigation
§      Static water level if pumping groundwater

Water use reporting registration links
Go to the MDA website which contains the Registration Form For Reporting to the Michigan Department of Agriculture at: http://www.michigan.gov/mda/0,1607,7-125-1567_1599_29980---,00.html

Go to the MDEQ Water Use Reporting Web Page at: http://www.michigan.gov/deq/0,1607,7-135-3313_3677_3704-72931--,00.html

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Regional reports

1 - Southeast

Mike Score

Commodity report
The wheat crop is growing quickly. Compared with wheat in northern and central Ohio, wheat in southeastern Michigan looks very good. It is early in the season. Insect and disease problems are not significant at this point. Forage crops have responded quickly to unseasonably warm weather.

If warm weather continues farmers will harvest alfalfa at or before May 20. Expectations are for a cold snap toward the end of April that may return spring crop development to a more normal pace.

A few brave farmers as far north as southern Washtenaw County are putting corn in the ground. Farmers in more northern areas are taking advantage of dry soil conditions to complete tillage operations and prepare for corn and soybean planting.

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2 - Southwest

Bruce MacKellar

Weather
Soil conditions remained excellent for fieldwork over the last several weeks. Rainfall continues to fall behind the normal expected levels with Three Rivers recording 1.47 inches behind average over the last four weeks. The unsettled weather this week left most of southwest Michigan with little accumulated rainfall. Average rainfall totals across the region were 0.1 to 0.2 of an inch. Last weekends temperatures in the upper 80's pushed the growing degree day totals ahead of schedule for the year, even though the majority of the days recorded below normal temperatures.

Commodity report
Winter wheat is progressing well. Warmer temperatures moved growth forward but the lack of surface soil moisture may cause a problem soon.

The alfalfa is growing rapidly with the warmer temperatures. Growth is between six to eight inches in height. Fields that I have scouted do not show signs of alfalfa weevil feeding yet, but the warm temperatures over the weekend will most certainly push their development ahead. Watch for pinhole feeding symptoms on leaves over the next couple of weeks.

Corn planting has moved into gear in some places in the southwest region. The eastern portion of the region has begun planting commercial corn in earnest. The western portion is beginning more slowly. Soil temperatures have moderated to the mid to upper 50's following the warm temperatures.

Soybean planting is just getting underway as well with very little progress at this point. Because of the expected smaller size of soybean seed this year, it might be a good idea to calibrate grain drills (see Calibrating drills for soybean production in this issue) this season to make sure that you are planting the intended population. Another thing that you may want to consider before you plant soybeans is to make sure that there is adequate potassium fertility in the soil. Research conducted during the 2003 field season indicated that the effect of soybean aphid feeding was more pronounced on fields where soil K fertility levels were low.

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3 - West Central

Roger Peacock

Weather
Good weather for fieldwork at least 60 percent of the last two weeks. Rains the last couple of days has slowed activity as soils are a little too sticky especially finer textured soils.

Commodity reports
Warmer days have alfalfa growing rapidly, most looks good at 4-5 inches. Most of the spring seedings have been planted.

In grasses, orchard and brome are progressing nicely. Growth is at 5-7 inches. Some animals are out on pastures as hay supplies are mostly gone.

Most fertilizer has been spread on wheat, weed control applied to many acres. Growth stages Feeke's 4-5. Stands look good.

Most of acreage has been planted in oats. Some of the earliest planted has emerged.

This is one of the best springs in recent past. Work is progressing nicely. If good weather continues, corn planting will start in earnest next week.

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4 - Central

Paul Gross

Weather
The north part of the region received about one inch of rain over the past week, but amounts were less as you move south. The warm temperatures have really stimulated growth in wheat and alfalfa. The region is still below average in soil moisture.

Commodity reports
The wheat crop is in Feeke's three to four. The crop looks very good with good uniform stands. Applications of herbicide will be going on starting this week and next. There are no reported problems at this time.

Corn planting is just getting under way. Some growers have nearly half of their crop planted while others will get going next week. Many farmers are waiting for things to warm up some before planting.

Planting of soybeans will begin next week.

Alfalfa has begun to grow rapidly with the warm weather and rain over the past week. Several of last year summer seedings did not survive and were replanted. The spring seedings are beginning to emerge, and the stands look good at this time. In Isabella County record growing degree days for alfalfa and as of Monday, we have accumulated about 100.

The early-planted oats have emerged and are doing very well. Stands are very good, and the alfalfa seeded with the oats is emerging nicely.

The sugar beets are planted and some are beginning to emerge. The high winds over the past week have caused concerns.

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5 - Thumb

Mark Seamon

Weather
Above average temperatures and limited rainfall have led to very good seedbed conditions and significant planting activity in the past two weeks. Some areas are becoming dryer than optimum while other small areas have received more rainfall.

Commodity reports
Alfalfa plants are taking advantage of the early season conditions with significant new growth. Soil moisture on the surface is becoming a limiting factor in spring seedings.

Planting of sugar beets is nearly complete. Emergence of early-planted fields is occurring. A concern with these emerged fields has been sustained strong winds that have caused some loss of stand and need for replanting. Limited areas of the Thumb received heavy rain just before record high temperatures, which caused some soil crusting.

Very good field conditions have led to significant planting of corn. Increasing soil temperatures are showing promise for this early planted corn. Of course, there are still many questions about the chance for cold temperatures with the early planting timing. Some growers are concerned about limited soil moisture and are planting before they intended to in order to get the seed planted into adequate moisture.

Plant growth of wheat continues to look good. Some fields are very nice with consistent growth while others are somewhat variable within the field. A couple of fields that I have scouted in Saginaw County are at Feekes growth stage 5. This advanced stage should create some scouting for weeds in wheat if chemical weed control is planned.

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6 - Northern Lower Peninsula

Dave Glenn

Weather
The weather remains on the warmer than usual side. A little rain has finally found the area, but not enough yet. The good news is that the snow is all gone now!

Commodity reports
No corn in the ground yet, but a lot of fields have been worked up in preparation.

Wheat is looking very good. Greening up nicely, with very few bad spots in the fields. We should have a good year if it keeps up like this.

Alfalfa has finally started greening up. It looks good in most spots to this point.

Oats and barley have started going in. A few early fields are done. Potatoes are still waiting for some warmer weather. Still have a few more loads of spuds to clean out of storages.

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Spring has sprung

Jeff Andresen
Agricultural Meteorology
Geography

The persistent troughing pattern across the Great Lakes region that brought cool, dry weather to much of the Great Lakes Region since late March finally broke during the past week. This resulted in an abnormally warm and unsettled weather pattern across Michigan. The unusually warm weather led to a surge in seasonal growing degree day accumulations and early overwintering crop development. Much needed rainfall eased dryness in northern sections of the state, but many southern areas remain abnormally dry.

On Thursday morning (April 22), an area of low pressure was located across the southern Great Plains region. The low pressure is expected to move through the Ohio Valley during the next 24 hours, bringing an increase in cloudiness to southern sections of Michigan, and possibly some light showers or sprinkles, especially in the southern tier or two of counties in the Lower Peninsula. High pressure will move in behind the system with dry conditions expected Friday and Saturday. Temperatures will fall back to near or below normal levels for the season with highs the next few days generally remaining in the 50's and lows in the 30's. A hard frost is likely across Friday and Saturday mornings in northern sections of the state.

Another low-pressure area will bring the chance for showers to the state once again by early Sunday continuing into early Monday. Tuesday and Wednesday are expected to be dry with a warming trend by the middle of next week. As of Thursday morning, two-inch soil temperatures had warmed to the mid-40's in northern sections of the state to the mid-50's across the south. Given cooler weather over the next several days, look for these temperatures to decrease a few degrees as well.

Looking further ahead, medium-range forecast guidance suggests further changes of the upper air pattern across North America with the passage of another trough across the central and eastern U.S. in one to two weeks. The NOAA Climate Prediction Center 6-10 day and 8-14 day outlooks for April 27 through May 1 and April 29 through May 5 both call for a trough to be located over the Great Lakes region and a ridge over the western US, with warmer than normal conditions to the west of the region and cooler than normal temperatures to the east. For both forecast time frames in Michigan, this translates to an outlook of near normal temperatures for most of the state except for the western Upper Peninsula, where warmer than normal temperatures are expected. Precipitation totals for both periods are forecast to fall back to below normal levels statewide.

Latest long lead outlooks
New NOAA long lead outlooks for upcoming growing season months continue to be vague. Sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific are near to just above normal, firmly in the "neutral" El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) category. Given that ENSO is the primary tool used to predict weather trends in the long lead multiple month time frame, the neutral current neutral conditions and expectations of continuing neutral conditions into this fall season make for an official outlook with relatively low detail.

During May, the outlook calls for increased odds of warmer than normal temperatures over much of the mid-Mississippi and Ohio Valley regions northward into southern sections of Michigan with the climatology scenario of equal odds elsewhere in the state. The warmer than normal forecast in sections of the Corn Belt region is due to drier than normal conditions and relatively low soil moisture conditions in this area presently as well as to long term climatological trends. Warmer than normal temperatures are also favored in the June-August time frame in southern and extreme western sections of the state with the equal odds scenario elsewhere. There is less in the way of direction for the precipitation outlook, with equal odds of above, below, and near normal levels forecast statewide for May and for all of the upcoming growing season.

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